Political Dictionary

Tracking Poll

A tracking poll measures changes in public opinion through repeated surveys.

Definition

Tracking polls use overlapping or repeated samples to show movement in candidate support or issue attitudes over time.

Why It Matters

They help campaigns and the public distinguish trends from one-time fluctuations.

How It Works

A pollster surveys respondents daily and reports a rolling multi-day average.

History

They became common in modern presidential campaigns and continuous media polling.

Example

A seven-day tracking poll shows whether support changed after a debate.

Common Misconceptions

  • The same individuals are always interviewed daily.
  • Daily movement is always meaningful.
  • Tracking polls eliminate sampling error.